Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:14 AM UTC.
Analytics
MrBauer is down $10.08K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:14 AM UTC.
$37.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 15 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Oct 18, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.22K | $0.292 | $277.65 | -$370.28 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)Movsar Evloev | buy | 17.39 | $0.460 | $8 | 6h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 21:18 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 03:14 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:14 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 21:18 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $11.23K and losing ones cost $4.44K across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.69K on “Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $923.8 on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 212 markets. Its open positions are worth $772.01 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 434.78 |
| $0.230 |
| $150 |
| +$50 |
 Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? | No | 398.72 | $0.251 | $139.15 | +$39.15 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? | Yes | 447.75 | $0.112 | $87.76 | +$37.76 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | Yes | 198.57 | $0.227 | $61.56 | +$16.56 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026? | Yes | 203.22 | $0.246 | $55.89 | +$5.89 |
| buy |
| 264.15 |
| $0.530 |
| $140 |
| 6h ago |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)Movsar Evloev | buy | 377.36 | $0.530 | $200 | 6h ago |
| UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Petr Yan | sell | 356.72 | $0.999 | $356.36 | 6h ago |
| UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)Petr Yan | buy | 356.72 | $0.690 | $246.14 | 6h ago |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)Rizvan Kuniev | buy | 194.56 | $0.450 | $87.55 | 8h ago |
| UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)Losene Keita | buy | 10K | $0.010 | $100 | 8h ago |
| UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)Losene Keita | buy | 697.67 | $0.430 | $300 | 8h ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 198.57 | $0.227 | $45 | 1d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 203.22 | $0.246 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 447.75 | $0.112 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 398.72 | $0.251 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.005 | $0.44 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.12 | $0.020 | $0.28 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.020 | $1.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.82 | $0.020 | $0.12 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.020 | $1.2 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.020 | $6.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.020 | $0.1 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 612.9 | $0.020 | $12.26 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.020 | $0 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.95 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 321.64 | $0.047 | $15 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.364 | $22.57 | 6d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 966.57 | $0.517 | $500 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 884.03 | $0.339 | $300 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 406.74 | $0.369 | $150 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 235 | $0.298 | $70 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 500.63 | $0.200 | $100 | 6d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 467.43 | $0.428 | $200 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 629.86 | $0.159 | $100 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 203.01 | $0.144 | $29.23 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.134 | $9.37 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 265.38 | $0.113 | $30 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.79 | $0.098 | $7.33 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.02 | $0.243 | $18.48 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 303 | $0.330 | $100 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.161 | $300 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.290 | $22.91 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.34 | $0.290 | $5.03 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 130.6 | $0.118 | $15.41 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 530.4 | $0.118 | $62.59 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.95 | $0.118 | $1.17 | 6d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | 6d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.341 | $500 | 6d ago |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.254 | $300 | 6d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.