MrBauer is down $10.08K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.22K | $0.292 | $288.76 | -$359.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 21:18 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 05:34 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 21:18 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $11.23K and losing ones cost $4.44K across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.69K on “Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $923.8 on “Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 212 markets. Its open positions are worth $754.6 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 398.72 |
| $0.251 |
| $138.55 |
| +$38.55 |
Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026? | Yes | 434.78 | $0.230 | $121.74 | +$21.74 |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? | Yes | 447.75 | $0.112 | $87.09 | +$37.09 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? | Yes | 198.57 | $0.227 | $61.56 | +$16.56 |
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026? | Yes | 203.22 | $0.246 | $56.9 | +$6.9 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.