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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 28.16 |
| $0.110 |
| $3.1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 373.98 | $0.040 | $15 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.034 | $2 | May 6, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 36.58 | $0.240 | $8.78 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 68.18 | $0.910 | $62.04 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the SPD be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 25.31 | $0.950 | $24.04 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | sell | 28.98 | $0.977 | $28.31 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.510 | $6 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Jan 10-17?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Jan 10-17?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Jan 10-17?Yes | buy | 37.86 | $0.132 | $5 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Jan 10-17?Yes | buy | 75.44 | $0.094 | $7.1 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Jan 10-17?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 16.07 | $0.560 | $9 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 13.85 | $0.650 | $9 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.410 | $15 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Dec 31, 2024 |