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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 50.11 | $0.998 | $50 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 20.02 |
| $0.999 |
| $20 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 40.08 | $0.998 | $40 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 35.44 | $0.988 | $35 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 40.08 | $0.998 | $40 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 40.36 | $0.991 | $40 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 20.12 | $0.994 | $20 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.996 | $30 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.996 | $30 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?No | buy | 40.15 | $0.996 | $40 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Kraken be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 41.6 | $0.999 | $41.56 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Grayscale be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 40.08 | $0.998 | $40 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Gemini be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?Yes | buy | 104.06 | $0.961 | $100 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 80.5 | $0.999 | $80.42 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 20.37 | $0.982 | $20 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | buy | 40.45 | $0.989 | $40 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.997 | $40 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 19.69 | $0.989 | $19.47 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?Yes | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 20.47 | $0.977 | $20 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 40.04 | $0.999 | $40 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 60.12 | $0.998 | $60 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?No | buy | 60.42 | $0.993 | $60 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August?No | buy | 60.36 | $0.994 | $60 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 25.46 | $0.982 | $25 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 40.2 | $0.995 | $40 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?No | buy | 105.32 | $0.997 | $105 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in April?No | buy | 55.28 | $0.995 | $55 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 202.02 | $0.990 | $200 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 251.25 | $0.597 | $150 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 251.25 | $0.598 | $150.25 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Megaquake in October?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Base airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 533.83 | $0.402 | $214.6 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 533.83 | $0.403 | $215.13 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 467.08 | $0.482 | $225.13 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 467.08 | $0.483 | $225.6 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 247.98 | $0.477 | $118.29 | Sep 20, 2024 |