Latest trade
Jul 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:22 AM UTC.
Analytics
Substantial-Town is down $14.78 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:22 AM UTC.
$2.41 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 42 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Mar 21, 2026 UTC to Jul 2, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.096 | $1.86 | -$0.14 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 108 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 224.4 | $0.002 | $0.45 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-23 16:47 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 10:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 10:22 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-23 16:47 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $167.23 and losing ones cost $127.84 across the latest 50 settled positions. 34% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $59.61 on “Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)” (Yes); the largest loss, $10.28 on “Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
It first traded on 4 Mar 2026 and most recently on 2 Jul 2026, 114 days ago. It has traded 95 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.98 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 45.45 |
| $0.022 |
| $0.11 |
| -$0.89 |
| buy |
| 76.92 |
| $0.065 |
| $5 |
| Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.204 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.860 | $25.29 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.067 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 176.47 | $0.016 | $2.82 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.510 | $12.75 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.610 | $8.71 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 89.84 | $0.012 | $1.08 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 53.94 | $0.001 | $0.05 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.430 | $3 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.360 | $1.92 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes | buy | 6.97 | $0.270 | $1.88 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 12.52 | $0.140 | $1.75 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.79 | $0.540 | $0.97 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 12.47 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes | buy | 8.22 | $0.365 | $3 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.81 | $0.500 | $2.91 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 7.6 | $0.510 | $3.88 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp | sell | 16.98 | $0.990 | $16.81 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp | buy | 13.52 | $0.360 | $4.87 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp | buy | 3.24 | $0.600 | $1.94 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump's remarks not air?Yes | buy | 44.86 | $0.022 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 22?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 22?Yes | buy | 35.46 | $0.140 | $4.96 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.560 | $31.11 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.035 | $4.09 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $710b on March 31?Yes | sell | 27.39 | $0.010 | $0.27 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.043 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.230 | $3.83 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.