Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$102.8K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 73%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 13.5% on 26 Mar 2026. $102.79K traded over the market's life.

155 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:16 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 27 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Feb 2026	20.5%
27 Mar 2026	27.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	17.6K
goudandan	Yes	4K
Albert 1953	Yes	2.65K

10 of 155 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.