Analytics
Resolved No on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 7 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 141 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2025 to 17 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 12.5% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 May 2026. $3.94M traded over the market's life.
680 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 2:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 141 points, 7 Dec 2025 – 17 May 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | 11.5% |
| 17 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.96M |
| rdba | Yes | 369.89K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 104.62K |
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurovision-winner-2026
| Yes |
| 101.25K |
| ukresc | Yes | 86.03K |
| Usatmelo | Yes | 60.31K |
| niaowdbaj | Yes | 58.18K |
| tsihkodiives | Yes | 53.48K |
| sefsfs | Yes | 40K |
| Afraid-Calorie | Yes | 33.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
