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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.937 | $42.17 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.170 |
| $1.7 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.170 | $14.62 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.270 | $8.1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.470 | $7.05 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.730 | $42.34 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.730 | $42.34 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.043 | $1.85 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.110 | $6.71 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.110 | $1.21 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.963 | $39.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 47 | $0.910 | $42.77 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 47 | $0.910 | $42.77 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.963 | $39.48 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.806 | $43.52 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.797 | $43.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.310 | $25.73 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 19 | $0.988 | $18.77 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.988 | $43.47 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.062 | $5.46 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.520 | $15.08 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 103 | $0.210 | $21.63 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.880 | $32.56 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.340 | $6.12 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.390 | $2.34 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.340 | $23.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.969 | $28.1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 29 | $0.953 | $27.64 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 42 | $0.610 | $25.62 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.813 | $27.64 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.987 | $8.88 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 31 | $0.989 | $30.66 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.980 | $0.98 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.899 | $1.4 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | buy | 13 | $0.829 | $10.78 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.932 | $10.25 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.854 | $10.25 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.828 | $9.94 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July?No | sell | 11 | $0.971 | $10.68 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July?No | buy | 11 | $0.969 | $10.66 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.990 | $1.47 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.990 | $1.6 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.941 | $9.41 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.979 | $9.79 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Apr 20, 2025 |