Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.964 | $39.52 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 41 |
| $0.969 |
| $39.73 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.023 | $1.84 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26.35 | $0.440 | $11.59 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.038 | $1.14 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 42.51 | $0.899 | $38.22 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.760 | $45.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.760 | $45.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.106 | $4.88 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.180 | $5.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.180 | $2.88 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.983 | $42.27 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.982 | $37.32 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.810 | $11.34 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.810 | $19.44 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 48 | $0.860 | $41.28 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.064 | $3.84 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.065 | $3.9 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.730 | $27.74 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 67 | $0.620 | $41.54 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.800 | $45.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.790 | $43.45 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.530 | $39.75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.963 | $21.19 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 46 | $0.952 | $43.79 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.043 | $2.71 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.043 | $0.47 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.013 | $1.16 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.973 | $43.79 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.971 | $43.7 | May 30, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 76 | $0.510 | $38.76 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.958 | $42.15 | May 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 54 | $0.783 | $42.28 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.794 | $42.88 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.981 | $37.28 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.983 | $37.35 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.103 | $1.96 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.978 | $6.85 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 7 | $0.979 | $6.85 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 7 | $0.972 | $6.8 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.918 | $7.34 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.942 | $7.54 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.917 | $7.34 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.981 | $7.85 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.982 | $7.86 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.926 | $7.41 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.930 | $7.44 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.970 | $7.76 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.973 | $7.78 | Jun 7, 2025 |