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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.43 | $0.043 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 76 | $0.890 | $67.64 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 72 |
| $0.920 |
| $66.24 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.670 | $10.05 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 169 | $0.042 | $7.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 59 | $0.680 | $40.12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.080 | $7.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.100 | $9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 175 | $0.140 | $24.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.140 | $25.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 82 | $0.840 | $68.88 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.170 | $17.51 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.560 | $61.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 73 | $0.935 | $68.26 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.937 | $37.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.057 | $3.59 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.899 | $10.79 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 80.2 | $0.037 | $2.97 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.037 | $5.33 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.050 | $7.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.045 | $7.11 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.840 | $40.32 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 65 | $0.660 | $42.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.150 | $7.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.161 | $17.71 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 142 | $0.111 | $15.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 142 | $0.045 | $6.39 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.750 | $60.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.370 | $19.98 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.770 | $38.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.570 | $36.48 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.790 | $6.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.029 | $2.09 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.032 | $4.74 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.968 | $28.07 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.960 | $53.76 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 6.78 | $0.048 | $0.33 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.043 | $0.21 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 5 | $0.953 | $4.77 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.972 | $54.43 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 40 | $0.953 | $38.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 76 | $0.500 | $38 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 76 | $0.490 | $37.24 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.049 | $2.7 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.048 | $6.72 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.020 | $1.82 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1 | $0.980 | $0.98 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.956 | $10.52 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.965 | $1.19 | Jun 27, 2025 |