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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.38 |
| $0.290 |
| $0.98 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 10?Yes | buy | 10.55 | $0.095 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 8?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 2?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 24?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.118 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 12?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
USD0 depeg by December 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 22?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 12?Yes | buy | 25.77 | $0.039 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on December 8?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 30?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.108 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $120 November 3-9?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 23?No | buy | 182.69 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 22?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 10?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on September 29?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,400 on June 24?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,500 on June 6?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,700 on May 23?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | May 12, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
Ethereum above $1,600 on April 18?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,000 on March 28?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 10, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.380 | $2.5 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 30, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Solana above $190 on January 17?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Jan 9, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Ethereum above $3,900 on December 20?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Solana above $255 on November 29?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Nov 26, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Nov 18, 2024 |
Solana above $200 on November 15?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Nov 10, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.93 | $0.228 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Solana above $145 on October 18?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Oct 14, 2024 |
Ethereum above $2,500 on September 27?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.680 | $7.08 | Sep 16, 2024 |