Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?No | sell | 148.98 | $0.843 | $125.54 | Jul 26, 2026 |
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Liamliam10 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,539,533 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$82.39 observed lifetime PnL, 54 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 58.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xec41f8e587fd867b830ff941d2d5edf8acd88b9e
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 148.99 |
| $0.859 |
| $128 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | sell | 5.43 | $0.970 | $5.27 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 48.02 | $0.084 | $4.05 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 181.54 | $0.732 | $132.82 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 181.54 | $0.661 | $120 | Jul 24, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 44.77 | $0.660 | $29.55 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 94.44 | $0.710 | $67.05 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | sell | 51.02 | $0.454 | $23.16 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 94.44 | $0.720 | $68 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | sell | 10.86 | $0.830 | $9.01 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | buy | 51.02 | $0.490 | $25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 25.33 | $0.600 | $15.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Jul 24, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No | sell | 62.77 | $0.590 | $37.03 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 77.77 | $0.070 | $5.44 | Jul 24, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No | buy | 22.42 | $0.590 | $13.23 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.409 | $0.99 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 13.02 | $0.914 | $11.9 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 77.78 | $0.540 | $42 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?No | sell | 26.92 | $0.860 | $23.15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.410 | $15.37 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.400 | $15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 25.34 | $0.592 | $15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | sell | 47.26 | $0.710 | $33.55 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 47.26 | $0.719 | $34 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 90 | $0.380 | $34.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 90 | $0.400 | $36 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | sell | 59.01 | $0.600 | $35.41 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 59.02 | $0.610 | $36 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | sell | 50.82 | $0.720 | $36.59 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?No | buy | 26.92 | $0.706 | $19 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.89 | $0.400 | $19.96 | Jul 21, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No | buy | 40.36 | $0.450 | $18.16 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?No | sell | 29.19 | $0.630 | $18.39 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?No | buy | 29.19 | $0.680 | $19.85 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.89 | $0.601 | $30 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 13.02 | $0.695 | $9.05 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.310 | $9.39 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | buy | 50.82 | $0.728 | $37.02 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 33.78 | $0.730 | $24.66 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 33.78 | $0.740 | $25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp | buy | 5.65 | $0.330 | $1.86 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | buy | 69.85 | $0.700 | $48.9 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.