Latest trade
May 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:47 AM UTC.
Analytics
Guessingthefuture is down $187.64 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-08 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:47 AM UTC.
$24.93 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 31 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Apr 25, 2026 UTC to May 1, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 44K | $0.002 | $88 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-08 18:57 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 08:47 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-08 18:57 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $65.11 and losing ones cost $110.24 across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $19.75 on “Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $47.93 on “Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 1 May 2026. It has traded 56 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 37.73 |
| $0.999 |
| $37.69 |
| May 1, 2026 UTC |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA | sell | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | May 1, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.002 | $8 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FaZe | buy | 537.18 | $0.009 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BFaZe | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BFaZe | buy | 35 | $0.590 | $20.65 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp | buy | 25.25 | $0.990 | $25 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.91K | $0.002 | $71.82 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | sell | 16.67K | $0.001 | $16.67 | Apr 30, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 16.67K | $0.003 | $50 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 54.28 | $0.927 | $50.32 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.4K | $0.003 | $25.2 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.003 | $25 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 54.27 | $0.926 | $50.25 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67K | $0.003 | $50 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 53.46 | $0.931 | $49.77 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 162.02 | $0.932 | $151 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.004 | $10 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?Yes | sell | 164.5 | $0.981 | $161.3 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?Yes | buy | 164.44 | $0.991 | $162.88 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump dance today?No | buy | 306.75 | $0.003 | $0.92 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | sell | 1.05 | $0.760 | $0.8 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | buy | 1.05 | $0.940 | $0.99 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 1.03 | $0.963 | $0.99 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETDown | buy | 50.43 | $0.990 | $49.93 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp | buy | 50.43 | $0.990 | $49.93 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp | buy | 50.43 | $0.990 | $49.93 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 30.26 | $0.990 | $29.96 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown | buy | 25.44 | $0.980 | $24.93 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp | buy | 26.61 | $0.930 | $24.75 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 25.22 | $0.990 | $24.96 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown | buy | 35.3 | $0.990 | $34.95 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETDown | buy | 25.41 | $0.981 | $24.93 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown | buy | 25.22 | $0.990 | $24.96 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.09 | $0.950 | $1.99 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp | buy | 26.21 | $0.946 | $24.81 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 25.44 | $0.980 | $24.93 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETUp | buy | 25.86 | $0.962 | $24.86 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETDown | buy | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.99 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 20.39 | $0.978 | $19.93 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?Yes | sell | 2.84 | $0.310 | $0.88 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?Yes | sell | 2.09 | $0.951 | $1.99 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.