Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 505.12 | $0.840 | $431.88 | +$7.58 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 505.12 | $0.840 | $424.3 | 17d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 544.04 |
| $0.780 |
| $424.35 |
| 17d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 848.49 | $0.996 | $845.1 | 25d ago |
 LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers | buy | 845.1 | $0.999 | $844.25 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 461.12 | $0.997 | $459.74 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 117.43 | $0.940 | $110.38 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 67.63 | $0.940 | $63.57 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 201.02 | $0.580 | $116.59 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 194.74 | $0.880 | $171.37 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?No | buy | 50.06 | $0.989 | $49.51 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?No | buy | 40 | $0.988 | $39.52 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | sell | 633.13 | $0.090 | $56.98 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | sell | 325.18 | $0.111 | $36.12 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.990 | $9.52 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | sell | 44.03 | $0.120 | $5.28 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | buy | 112.2 | $0.963 | $108.05 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.934 | $19.61 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 106.97 | $0.922 | $98.63 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 109.05 | $0.904 | $98.58 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 51.57 | $0.957 | $49.35 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 247.06 | $0.999 | $246.81 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 246.87 | $0.947 | $233.79 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 98.41 | $0.780 | $76.76 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.12 | $0.680 | $35.44 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 109.76 | $0.320 | $35.12 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.17 | $0.640 | $11.63 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 169.63 | $0.920 | $156.06 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 156.04 | $0.880 | $137.32 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?No | buy | 274.52 | $0.999 | $274.25 | May 18, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?No | buy | 131.65 | $0.975 | $128.36 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?No | buy | 127.77 | $0.997 | $127.39 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 128.55 | $0.985 | $126.62 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?No | buy | 127.27 | $0.988 | $125.74 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?No | buy | 125.98 | $0.998 | $125.73 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 83.12 | $0.994 | $82.62 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No | buy | 41.73 | $0.978 | $40.81 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 40.89 | $0.998 | $40.81 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 81.62 | $0.989 | $80.72 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?No | buy | 40.09 | $0.993 | $39.81 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?No | buy | 12 | $0.980 | $11.76 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 19.63 | $0.999 | $19.61 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.988 | $59.28 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 29.9 | $0.979 | $29.27 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 49 | $0.965 | $47.29 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 73.5 | $0.830 | $61 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 63.51 | $0.998 | $63.38 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by July meeting?No | buy | 63.41 | $0.978 | $62.01 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 27 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 62 | $0.988 | $61.26 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 14.06 | $0.998 | $14.03 | Jul 24, 2025 |