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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.290 | $9.22 | +$4.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 4 |
| $0.250 |
| $1.22 |
| +$0.22 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 18.05 | $0.277 | $1.17 | -$3.83 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.110 | $1.07 | -$3.93 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 4.69 | $0.213 | $0.79 | -$0.21 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.015 | $0.6 | -$0.4 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.046 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.5 | -$0.51 |
 Don Lemon sentenced to prison? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.031 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 40 | $0.025 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.038 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.030 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 144.29 |
| $0.007 |
| $1 |
| Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 27?Yes | buy | 48.57 | $0.021 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 27?Yes | buy | 101.2 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on June 27?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C or higher on June 27?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes | buy | 147.26 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.86 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.01 | $0.024 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.54 | $0.153 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.026 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.32 | $0.007 | $0.46 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 161.43 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.213 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Yes | buy | 75.71 | $0.013 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on June 28?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 28?Yes | buy | 106.18 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 28?Yes | buy | 89.16 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 28?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 28?Yes | buy | 14.92 | $0.067 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?Yes | buy | 31.52 | $0.032 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 28?Yes | buy | 50.95 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)Yes | buy | 164.52 | $0.030 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes | buy | 496.51 | $0.012 | $6 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.185 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes | buy | 57.05 | $0.018 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 18.36 | $0.054 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Don Lemon sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Don Lemon charges dropped?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |