Latest trade
Oct 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:05 PM UTC.
Analytics
Strident-Calico is down $1.21K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 12 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-11 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:05 PM UTC.
$4.9 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 10, 2026 UTC to Oct 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 35 | $0.449 | $34.53 | +$18.83 |
 Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 8d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-11 23:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
38 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 16:05 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 16:05 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-11 23:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $425.68 and losing ones cost $40.42 across 12 settled positions. 66.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $202.4 on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $36.9 on “Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Oct 2026. It has traded 264 markets. Its open positions are worth $311.05 across 38 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 25.99 |
| $0.575 |
| $19.88 |
| +$4.93 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 20 | $0.600 | $19.01 | +$7.01 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | No | 20 | $0.740 | $18.3 | +$3.5 |
 Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | No | 39.6 | $0.485 | $17.62 | -$1.58 |
 Will Charlie Worsham (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | Yes | 40 | $0.375 | $14.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 20 | $0.730 | $14.1 | -$0.5 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 20 | $0.780 | $12.8 | -$2.8 |
 Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? | Yes | 40 | $0.480 | $11.8 | -$7.4 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | Yes | 40 | $0.570 | $11.8 | -$11 |
 Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | Yes | 53.99 | $0.195 | $11.07 | +$0.55 |
 Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 20 | $0.550 | $10.8 | -$0.2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 25 | $0.539 | $10.55 | -$2.93 |
 Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 56.01 | $0.287 | $10.33 | -$5.76 |
 Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 20 | $0.760 | $9.8 | -$5.4 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 40 | $0.444 | $9.3 | -$8.46 |
 AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.290 | $9 | -$2.6 |
 Will The Red Clay Strays win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 33 | $0.748 | $8.58 | -$16.1 |
| Will Brooks & Dunn win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 20 | $0.410 | $7.2 | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 15.99 | $0.530 | $7.2 | -$1.28 |
 Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | $0.520 | $5.7 | -$4.7 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | $0.540 | $5.7 | -$5.1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 20 | $0.468 | $5.14 | -$4.22 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 20 | $0.410 | $4.5 | -$3.7 |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 36 | $0.285 | $3.96 | -$6.32 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.480 |
| $4.8 |
| 8d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 8d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 8d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.93 | $0.490 | $0.95 | 9d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETUp | buy | 8.06 | $0.490 | $3.95 | 9d ago |
 Solana Up or Down - October 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 10d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 10d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 10d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 11d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 11d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETDown | buy | 5.69 | $0.490 | $2.79 | 11d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 11d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 12d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 13d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 13d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 13d ago |
 XRP Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 13d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 14d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 14d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 14d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETDown | buy | 0.78 | $0.490 | $0.38 | 14d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 14d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown | buy | 3.73 | $0.490 | $1.83 | 14d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 15d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETUp | buy | 4.33 | $0.490 | $2.12 | 15d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 0.06 | $0.490 | $0.03 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 15d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown | buy | 4.26 | $0.490 | $2.09 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown | buy | 5.74 | $0.490 | $2.81 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 15d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 8.19 | $0.490 | $4.01 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.8 | $0.490 | $0.88 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 7.68 | $0.490 | $3.76 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 2.32 | $0.490 | $1.14 | 16d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - October 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 8.74 | $0.490 | $4.28 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.26 | $0.490 | $0.62 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 16d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.