Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.300 | $3.9 | +$1.9 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.08 |
| $0.650 |
| $2.4 |
| +$0.4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.88 | $0.410 | $1.83 | -$0.17 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 8.7 | $0.230 | $0.74 | -$1.26 |
| buy |
| 6.67 |
| $0.300 |
| $2 |
| 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | 8d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 9d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 9d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 19d ago |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 27d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.780 | $1.39 | 28d ago |
 Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.630 | $1.92 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.450 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.670 | $1.87 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.550 | $1.96 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.450 | $1.53 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.450 | $1.37 | Jul 21, 2026 |