Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.4 | $0.490 | $0.31 | +$0.12 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.988 | $45.45 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.310 |
| $15.5 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 59 | $0.720 | $42.48 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.961 | $46.13 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.801 | $41.65 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 57 | $0.802 | $45.71 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.797 | $34.27 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 83 | $0.490 | $40.67 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.490 | $40.67 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.490 | $2.94 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.012 | $0.32 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.024 | $1.82 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.981 | $33.35 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.982 | $33.39 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.054 | $4.21 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 87 | $0.540 | $46.98 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 87 | $0.600 | $52.2 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.881 | $48.46 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.967 | $7.74 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.990 | $1.4 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 8 | $0.952 | $7.62 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 8 | $0.954 | $7.63 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.977 | $9.77 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.977 | $9.77 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.806 | $9.67 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.829 | $10.78 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.959 | $9.59 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No | buy | 10 | $0.948 | $9.48 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.958 | $1.82 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Trump meets with Carney in March?No | buy | 12 | $0.961 | $11.53 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 13 | $0.922 | $11.99 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 13 | $0.911 | $11.84 | Mar 10, 2025 |