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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 3.64 | $0.996 | $3.63 | 19d ago |
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| No |
| 3.79 |
| $0.870 |
| $3.68 |
| +$0.38 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | No | 2.7 | $0.934 | $2.6 | +$0.08 |
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 2.49 | $0.988 | $2.49 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 3.58 |
| $0.852 |
| $3.05 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | sell | 5.32 | $0.810 | $4.31 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?No | sell | 3.4 | $0.800 | $2.72 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.570 | $3.16 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.290 | $0.78 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.985 | $2.74 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.947 | $5.1 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.58 | $0.948 | $2.45 | Apr 22, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.930 | $5.27 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.940 | $3.9 | Apr 18, 2026 |
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.14 | $0.992 | $4.11 | Apr 18, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | sell | 2.18 | $0.977 | $2.13 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.959 | $3.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.920 | $3.4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.956 | $1.35 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.890 | $1.97 | Apr 4, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.920 | $4.64 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.976 | $5.67 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.997 | $0.43 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29?Yes | buy | 2.65 | $0.980 | $2.6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.86 | $0.990 | $1.84 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.990 | $1.28 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will XRP reach $1.50 on March 25?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.960 | $4.9 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.961 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.988 | $2.46 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.970 | $3 | Mar 20, 2026 |
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.964 | $4 | Mar 19, 2026 |
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.963 | $3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | sell | 2.62 | $0.964 | $2.53 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.900 | $4.79 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on March 13?No | buy | 43 | $0.998 | $42.91 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 13?Yes | buy | 3.48K | $0.999 | $3.48K | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 13?Yes | buy | 3.49K | $0.999 | $3.48K | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 13?Yes | buy | 3.49K | $0.999 | $3.49K | Mar 13, 2026 |
Waymo IPO before 2027?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.870 | $3.3 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 12?No | buy | 3.49K | $0.999 | $3.49K | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.999 | $3.5K | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.999 | $3.5K | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.940 | $3.2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 8.1 | $0.960 | $7.78 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.961 | $3.95 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.954 | $4.86 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.980 | $2.53 | Mar 5, 2026 |