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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.055 | $10 | Sep 17, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 744.44 |
| $0.027 |
| $20 |
| Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?No | buy | 945.19 | $0.019 | $18 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?No | buy | 462.92 | $0.017 | $8 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?No | buy | 589.21 | $0.017 | $10 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Median" during September press conference?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?No | buy | 31.88 | $0.314 | $10 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?No | buy | 625 | $0.016 | $10 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.090 | $5.63 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.660 | $16.92 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | sell | 10.25 | $0.190 | $1.95 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Cracker" or "Barrel" this week? (September 1 - 7)Yes | buy | 42 | $0.190 | $7.98 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.237 | $4.16 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.270 | $2.77 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 31.12 | $0.643 | $20 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.053 | $5 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" this week? (September 1 - 7)Yes | buy | 34.67 | $0.144 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Boots on the ground" this week? (September 1 - 7)Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Big beautiful bill" this week? (September 1 - 7)Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Venezuela" this week? (September 1 - 7)No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (September 1 - 7)No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump resign today?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Greed" 2+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.300 | $18 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Greed" 2+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Corruption" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.285 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.014 | $7 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?Yes | buy | 72.33 | $0.014 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.044 | $5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Trump announces Lisa Cook replacement by August 31?Yes | buy | 469.92 | $0.002 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise 40m on Monday September 1?Yes | buy | 56.11 | $0.018 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |