Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2.42 | +$0.42 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 11.66 | $0.090 | $1.05 | Apr 22, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.430 |
| $1.05 |
| -$1.1 |
| buy |
| 6.67 |
| $0.150 |
| $1 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.510 | $3.06 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.290 | $3.48 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes | sell | 30.63 | $0.683 | $20.93 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.290 | $3.19 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 10.81 | $0.370 | $4 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.14 | $0.350 | $6 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 4.09 | $0.105 | $0.43 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy EditionNo | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 8.26 | $0.121 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 4.1 | $0.244 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.154 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Layoffs" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |