Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 454.6 | $0.880 | $425.05 | +$25.06 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | 8d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 107.62 |
| $0.367 |
| $39.54 |
| Aug 13, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 205.13 | $0.975 | $200 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 224.72 | $0.890 | $200 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 50.85 | $0.590 | $30 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 14.65 | $0.682 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | sell | 29.41 | $0.318 | $9.34 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 13.11 | $0.762 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 114.51 | $0.044 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | sell | 227.09 | $0.910 | $206.65 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 227.1 | $0.730 | $165.78 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 168.53 | $0.985 | $166 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 337.08 | $0.890 | $300 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 301.41 | $0.748 | $225.55 | May 15, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | sell | 242.81 | $0.941 | $228.43 | May 15, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 242.82 | $0.865 | $210 | May 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?No | buy | 210.41 | $0.930 | $195.68 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 100.31 | $0.790 | $79.24 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 100.31 | $0.700 | $70.22 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 111.23 | $0.899 | $100 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Yes | sell | 123.31 | $0.485 | $59.79 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Yes | buy | 123.32 | $0.811 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | sell | 233.31 | $0.902 | $210.43 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 233.32 | $0.760 | $177.32 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 177.31 | $0.540 | $95.75 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | sell | 100.69 | $0.951 | $95.76 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 100.7 | $0.930 | $93.65 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 158.73 | $0.590 | $93.65 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 593.57 | $0.969 | $575.17 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 158.73 | $0.491 | $78 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.967 | $483.75 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.840 | $46.66 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 132.52 | $0.959 | $127.11 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No | buy | 207.42 | $0.964 | $200 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 317.46 | $0.630 | $200 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 961.05 | $0.940 | $903.39 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 904.29 | $0.999 | $903.39 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 577.11 | $0.958 | $552.87 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 298.8 | $0.050 | $14.94 | Jan 31, 2026 |