Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.5%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.5% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 3 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 69.5% on 30 Mar 2026. $331.55K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 10, 1:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 44.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 96.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Skinny-Class | No | 16.63K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 2.04K |
| nveritatis | No | 1.57K |
| Alarmed-Fritter | No | 983.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-iranian-power-plant-by-april-30
| StephanieThomas5505 | Yes | 804 |
| Partial-Dictionary | No | 432.01 |
| kamarat | No | 400 |
| Lavincey | No | 374.45 |
| VeloWhisper | No | 274.1 |
| BenAlan | No | 256.25 |
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