Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 74.82 | $0.134 | $5.35 | -$4.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.117 | $6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.78 |
| $0.865 |
| $5.27 |
| +$0.27 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5.39 | $0.928 | $4.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 30.3 | $0.330 | $4.39 | -$5.61 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 26.9 | $0.372 | $3.63 | -$6.37 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 54 | $0.222 | $3.51 | -$8.49 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | Yes | 32.25 | $0.155 | $2.95 | -$2.05 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $1.5 | -$3.5 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 6.45 | $0.310 | $0.74 | -$1.26 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.090 | $0.5 | -$1.5 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.280 | $0.32 | -$1.68 |
| sell |
| 26.74 |
| $0.200 |
| $5.35 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 35.87 | $0.227 | $8.14 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | sell | 18.52 | $0.360 | $6.67 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Yes | buy | 32.25 | $0.155 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 16.37 | $0.611 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.928 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 90.91 | $0.075 | $6.82 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 15.27 | $0.655 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?No | sell | 5.66 | $0.922 | $5.22 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5.57 | $0.921 | $5.13 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 69.1 | $0.115 | $7.95 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 6.81 | $0.538 | $3.66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.734 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.112 | $7 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.590 | $6.86 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.948 | $5.03 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.789 | $5.06 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.89 | $0.178 | $3 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 26.38 | $0.570 | $15.04 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 7.29 | $0.838 | $6.11 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.883 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.941 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.865 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.897 | $5 | May 27, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.24 | $0.250 | $1.81 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.21 | $0.760 | $7 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | sell | 5.71 | $0.340 | $1.94 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?No | sell | 12.9 | $0.776 | $10.01 | May 23, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 37.38 | $0.171 | $6.39 | May 22, 2026 |
 SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?SpaceX | sell | 5.68 | $0.910 | $5.17 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.900 | $21.95 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
| SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?SpaceX | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.97 | $0.037 | $0.52 | May 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.040 | $0.21 | May 19, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |