Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 81.61 | $0.986 | $80.47 | 13d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 80.47 |
| $0.986 |
| $79.34 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | buy | 79.34 | $0.960 | $76.17 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 67.63 | $0.955 | $64.59 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 84.98 | $0.760 | $64.58 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 84.98 | $0.920 | $78.18 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 78.12 | $0.929 | $72.59 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 72.65 | $0.982 | $71.34 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No | buy | 71.34 | $0.999 | $71.27 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 12-18?No | buy | 71.27 | $0.999 | $71.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 74.09 | $0.961 | $71.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 61.19 | $0.925 | $56.6 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 12.9 | $0.923 | $11.91 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 68.51 | $0.993 | $68.03 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 68.03 | $0.980 | $66.67 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?No | buy | 64.53 | $0.997 | $64.34 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 69.44 | $0.908 | $63.05 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 63.65 | $0.836 | $53.21 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.790 | $55.3 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.730 | $54.75 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.730 | $54.75 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?No | buy | 108.51 | $0.998 | $108.29 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 111.3 | $0.973 | $108.29 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 111.3 | $0.987 | $109.85 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 599.65 | $0.926 | $555.05 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.930 | $55.8 | Feb 9, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 114.88 | $0.965 | $110.86 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Jordan Love win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.001 | $1.1 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.001 | $1.05 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.962 | $101.01 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Tottenham lead the EPL in points at midway point?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will another team lead the EPL in points at the midway point?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Aston Villa lead the EPL in points at midway point?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Nottingham Forest lead the EPL in points at midway point?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 >50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Increase in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will New Hampshire be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris get 68-70m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.982 | $128.64 | Dec 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 83.25 | $0.949 | $79 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 CA-13 election: Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R)Gray | buy | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Dec 1, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.900 | $54.9 | Nov 28, 2024 |