Intentional-Crane is down $40.15 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 16 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 105.24 | $0.513 | $24.73 | -$29.27 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-01 06:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 00:59 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 00:59 UTC
polymarket positions
18 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-01 06:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $23.03 and losing ones cost $26.57 across 16 settled positions. 43.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $19.43 on “Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10 on “Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?” (Yes).
It has traded 19 markets. Its open positions are worth $24.73 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.