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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.993 |
| $1 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will between 370 and 379 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 12?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Simone Gbagbo win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Trump visit China by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Jeremiah Ing win Survivor season 49?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will 'Wood' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will “Ruth & Boaz” be the top global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will “Ruth & Boaz” be the top global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |