Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 21, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.1M

Resolved

Settled

Nov 21, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 21 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 21 Nov 2025, the highest close was 23.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.7% on 21 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 6.5% on 14 Nov 2025. $1.07M traded over the market's life.

276 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 22, 4:35 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 21 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–30%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	566.5K
Well-Off-Impropriety	Yes	30.64K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	27.46K
Cookedtan	Yes	20.9K

10 of 276 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 21, 2025 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.