Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.63 | $0.396 | $6.36 | +$1.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 3d ago |
|
| No |
| 6.49 |
| $0.770 |
| $5.29 |
| +$0.29 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.57 | $0.221 | $2.46 | -$0.54 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.35 | $0.081 | $2.39 | +$1.39 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.62 | $0.282 | $1.53 | -$1.47 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.073 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.6 | -$0.4 |
| buy |
| 3.13 |
| $0.320 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | 3d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 3d ago |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.095 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 13.57 | $0.221 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 12.63 | $0.396 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.081 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10.62 | $0.283 | $3 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.690 | $4.91 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.640 | $4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.147 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.4 | $0.680 | $0.95 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.4 | $0.680 | $0.95 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown | buy | 2.4 | $0.380 | $0.91 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.21 | $0.800 | $0.97 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp | buy | 9.65 | $0.090 | $0.87 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETDown | buy | 1.24 | $0.780 | $0.97 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETUp | buy | 2.09 | $0.440 | $0.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.460 | $0.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 3.44 | $0.260 | $0.89 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | buy | 2.05 | $0.450 | $0.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 1.21 | $0.800 | $0.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | buy | 2.23 | $0.410 | $0.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.46 | $0.370 | $0.91 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp | buy | 2.13 | $0.430 | $0.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.59 | $0.350 | $0.91 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 2.23 | $0.410 | $0.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.74 | $0.330 | $0.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp | buy | 1.27 | $0.760 | $0.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | buy | 2.05 | $0.450 | $0.92 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp | sell | 1.92 | $0.750 | $1.44 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 21.54 | $0.040 | $0.86 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.52 | $0.360 | $0.91 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.700 | $6 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |