Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.65 | $0.430 | $3.7 | +$1.7 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 1d ago |
 |
Ivory Scout E499 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #1,212,268 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$0.55 observed lifetime PnL, 47 distinct markets, 41 resolved positions, a 53.7% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xddd029802aecc236da2a04affa8c37ee2fc1e499
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 3.85 |
| $0.520 |
| $3.02 |
| +$1.02 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 8 | $0.250 | $2.84 | +$0.84 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $1.63 | -$0.37 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 6.06 | $0.330 | $1 | -$1 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.520 | $0.81 | -$1.19 |
| buy |
| 8 |
| $0.250 |
| $2 |
| 2d ago |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.86 | $0.490 | $1.89 | 15d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.1 | $0.488 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 25d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 18?Up | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.376 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will "Europe" or "European" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 3 | $0.420 | $1.26 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.380 | $1.14 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.