Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 100 | $0.120 | $11.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.370 | $3.6 | 11d ago |
 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.570 |
| $9.5 |
| -$1.9 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.780 | $7.95 | +$0.15 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.370 | $7.3 | -$0.1 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 104 | $0.051 | $3.69 | -$1.61 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.519 | $3.55 | -$22.4 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | Yes | 25 | $0.231 | $1.11 | -$4.67 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.231 |
| $5.78 |
| 11d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | 11d ago |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.051 | $5.3 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 11d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | 11d ago |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.519 | $25.95 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.350 | $10.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.780 | $5.46 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 8.08 | $0.860 | $6.95 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 4, 2026 |