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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 450 | $0.942 | $423.9 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 455 |
| $0.940 |
| $427.7 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 450 | $0.940 | $423 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 448 | $0.957 | $428.74 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 479.99 | $0.102 | $48.96 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 470 | $0.100 | $47 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?Yes | sell | 470 | $0.090 | $42.3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?Yes | sell | 480 | $0.090 | $43.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Yes | sell | 465 | $0.073 | $33.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Yes | sell | 455 | $0.073 | $33.21 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes | sell | 465 | $0.090 | $41.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes | sell | 475 | $0.090 | $42.75 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.045 | $0.22 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 445 | $0.049 | $21.81 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 440 | $0.049 | $21.56 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 435 | $0.090 | $39.15 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 440 | $0.090 | $39.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.036 | $8.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.036 | $8.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.036 | $7.2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.036 | $7.2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 440 | $0.046 | $20.24 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 430 | $0.046 | $19.78 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?Yes | sell | 395 | $0.046 | $18.17 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?Yes | sell | 385 | $0.046 | $17.71 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 388 | $0.050 | $19.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes | sell | 398 | $0.050 | $19.9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.120 | $0.84 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?Yes | sell | 139.99 | $0.120 | $16.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC | buy | 515 | $0.940 | $484.1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 510 | $0.950 | $484.5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 494.99 | $0.026 | $12.87 | May 15, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 485 | $0.026 | $12.61 | May 15, 2026 |
 Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Villarreal CF | buy | 485 | $0.975 | $472.88 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 485 | $0.976 | $473.36 | May 13, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.047 | $23.5 | May 11, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 490 | $0.047 | $23.03 | May 11, 2026 |
 Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM | buy | 310 | $0.989 | $306.59 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 325 | $0.983 | $319.48 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC | buy | 308 | $0.969 | $298.45 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 308 | $0.988 | $304.3 | Apr 11, 2026 |