Latest trade
Jun 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 4:00 PM UTC.
Analytics
Neon Ledger 3AAE has made $112.92 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 18 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 1, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 4:00 PM UTC.
$8.1 median trade
Its latest 88 trades covered 20 markets; 80.7% were buys. They run from Mar 13, 2026 UTC to Jun 1, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 349.52 | $0.604 | $54.18 | -$156.87 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.975 | $58.5 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 13:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 16:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
88 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 16:00 UTC
polymarket positions
20 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:11 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $204.54 and losing ones cost $72.37 across 18 settled positions. 66.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $91.41 on “Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?” (No); the largest loss, $32.5 on “US forces enter Iran by December 31?” (No).
It first traded on 13 Mar 2026 and most recently on 1 Jun 2026, 138 days ago. It has traded 21 markets. Its open positions are worth $54.18 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 26 |
| $0.974 |
| $25.32 |
| Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 82.31 | $0.870 | $71.61 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.870 | $78.3 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Jun 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.300 | $4.5 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.320 | $9.41 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.022 | $0.53 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 164.87 | $0.023 | $3.79 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?No | buy | 67 | $0.750 | $50.25 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.718 | $28.72 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.610 | $15.25 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.740 | $24.13 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?No | buy | 13.3 | $0.700 | $9.31 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.300 | $7.5 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.300 | $4.5 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.560 | $14 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.560 | $14 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.200 | $4.2 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.560 | $16.8 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.190 | $5.51 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.650 | $16.25 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.300 | $7.5 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.300 | $7.5 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.320 | $8 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.090 | $0.35 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.059 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.350 | $8.75 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.