Latest trade
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:35 PM UTC.
Analytics
xiangbdao is down $5.06 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:35 PM UTC.
$88.88 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Jan 8, 2026 UTC to Oct 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 10.42 | $0.998 | $10.42 | +$0.02 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.998 | $10.4 | 17d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-01 06:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 15:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 15:35 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-01 06:06 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.32 and losing ones cost $0.06 across the latest 50 settled positions. 98% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.28 on “Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $0.06 on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Oct 2026. It has traded 74 markets. Its open positions are worth $13.25 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3 |
| $0.810 |
| $2.84 |
| +$0.41 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?No| buy |
| 3 |
| $0.810 |
| $2.43 |
| 17d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 12.84 | $0.997 | $12.8 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will XRP dip to $0.40 in August?No | buy | 13.81 | $0.999 | $13.8 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 13.74 | $0.997 | $13.7 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 91.79 | $0.999 | $91.7 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?No | buy | 90.18 | $0.998 | $90 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?Yes | buy | 91.39 | $0.999 | $91.3 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?Yes | buy | 91.09 | $0.999 | $91 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?Yes | buy | 67.07 | $0.999 | $67 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.999 | $24 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 92.09 | $0.999 | $92 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 91.99 | $0.999 | $91.9 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 91.94 | $0.999 | $91.85 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?No | buy | 92.08 | $0.999 | $91.99 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 23?Yes | buy | 93.76 | $0.999 | $93.67 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No | buy | 93.08 | $0.999 | $92.99 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 19?No | buy | 93.58 | $0.999 | $93.49 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 93.17 | $0.998 | $92.98 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 11?Yes | buy | 93.32 | $0.999 | $93.23 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 93.23 | $0.999 | $93.14 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 93.15 | $0.999 | $93.06 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28?Yes | buy | 88.86 | $0.999 | $88.77 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 88.77 | $0.999 | $88.68 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 23?No | buy | 88.68 | $0.999 | $88.59 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 88.18 | $0.998 | $88 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 87.31 | $0.999 | $87.22 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 87.09 | $0.999 | $87 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 89.24 | $0.999 | $89.15 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No | buy | 89.14 | $0.994 | $88.61 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No | buy | 88.61 | $0.999 | $88.52 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 30?No | buy | 88.53 | $0.999 | $88.44 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | sell | 90.03 | $0.999 | $89.94 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 90.03 | $0.998 | $89.85 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 89.85 | $0.999 | $89.76 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?No | buy | 89.09 | $0.999 | $89 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | buy | 89.67 | $0.999 | $89.58 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 89.09 | $0.999 | $89 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 105 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 3m ago. Watch only — not advice.