Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 1 | $0.961 | $0.96 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 115.09 |
| $0.240 |
| $27.62 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.750 | $34.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 69 | $0.830 | $57.27 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.130 | $3.38 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.270 | $19.71 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.270 | $36.72 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 61 | $0.860 | $52.46 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 92 | $0.490 | $45.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 54 | $0.954 | $51.52 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.85 | $0.700 | $15.3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | May 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.490 | $34.3 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 4.61 | $0.590 | $2.72 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 70.3 | $0.430 | $30.23 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.877 | $52.62 | May 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 49.73 | $0.650 | $32.32 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.076 | $11.4 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.112 | $16.8 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.063 | $1.83 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.048 | $0.77 | May 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.045 | $1.4 | May 21, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.046 | $1.43 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.909 | $41.81 | May 20, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.040 | $2.96 | May 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 45 | $0.944 | $42.48 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.054 | $3.46 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 11 | $0.975 | $10.73 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.988 | $1.4 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.965 | $1.8 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.897 | $8.97 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will the Titans draft a Quarterback?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.969 | $8.72 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.865 | $7.79 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.866 | $10.39 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok?No | sell | 10 | $0.974 | $9.74 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Meta buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.029 | $1.04 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Dyson Daniels win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No | buy | 13 | $0.983 | $12.78 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.031 | $0.99 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%?No | buy | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 16 | $0.956 | $15.3 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?No | sell | 13 | $0.990 | $12.87 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.063 | $1.07 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.063 | $2.96 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 21-28?No | sell | 15 | $0.997 | $14.96 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will another racer win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No | sell | 15 | $0.992 | $14.88 | Mar 21, 2025 |
| Will another racer win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No | buy | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will Gonzaga win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 15 | $0.979 | $14.69 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | buy | 17 | $0.987 | $16.78 | Mar 2, 2025 |