Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.390 | $60 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 126.58 |
| $0.930 |
| $117.72 |
| Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?Yes | buy | 190.91 | $0.110 | $21 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 167.55 | $0.597 | $100 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | sell | 384.88 | $0.890 | $342.54 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 384.89 | $0.880 | $338.7 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.120 | $125.4 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will any of Trump’s children launch a coin by Friday?No | sell | 131.71 | $0.999 | $131.58 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 241.94 | $0.413 | $100 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?Yes | sell | 790 | $0.001 | $0.79 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 257.64 | $0.001 | $0.26 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.600 | $300 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will any of Trump’s children launch a coin by Friday?No | buy | 131.71 | $0.759 | $100 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?Yes | sell | 298.5 | $0.935 | $279.1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by January 31?Yes | sell | 317.63 | $0.960 | $304.92 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will $Trump FDV be $35-40b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 317.33 | $0.063 | $20 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $40-45b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 362.9 | $0.055 | $20 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?Yes | sell | 305.84 | $0.099 | $30.33 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 257.64 | $0.388 | $100 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 199.81 | $0.500 | $100 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 305.84 | $0.163 | $49.7 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?Yes | buy | 790 | $0.063 | $50 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by January 31?Yes | buy | 317.63 | $0.630 | $200 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?Yes | buy | 298.51 | $0.670 | $200 | Jan 18, 2025 |