Latest trade
Sep 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:08 PM UTC.
Analytics
Improbable-Id is down $23.22 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:08 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 47 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Sep 9, 2026 UTC to Sep 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-19?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-17 09:58 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:08 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:08 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-17 09:58 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $47.34 and losing ones cost $58.11 across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.67 on “Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?” (Yes); the largest loss, $6.06 on “Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Sep 2026. It has traded 216 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.600 |
| $2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Weston-super-Mare AFC win on 2026-09-19?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will South Shields FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brackley Town FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?Yes | buy | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-09-17?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-09-11?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-09-11?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-09-11?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will FC Salzburg win on 2026-09-11?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will AZ win on 2026-09-11?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will FC København win on 2026-09-11?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Port FC win on 2026-09-11?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Buriram United win on 2026-09-11?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Al Jazira (UAE) win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 M25 Plaisir + H: Toby Martin vs Stefan SeifertStefan Seifert | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| M25 Gijon: Xavi Palomar vs Anas MazdrashkiAnas Mazdrashki | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| M25 Rabat: Karim Bennani vs Walid AhoudaKarim Bennani | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas NeumayerLukas Neumayer | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" during his remarks in Arlington?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Veteran" during his remarks in Arlington?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Antalya 4: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Alicia Herrero LinanaAlicia Herrero Linana | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Al Jazira (UAE) win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Al Sadd SC win on 2026-09-10?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-09?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-09?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Deportivo San Pedro win on 2026-09-09?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-09-09?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mamelodi Sundowns win on 2026-09-09?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.