Analytics
Resolved Lukas Neumayer on 10 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lukas Neumayer at 74.5%. The Juan Manuel La Serna side opened at 30% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 10 Sep 2026, the highest close was 30% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 10 Sep 2026. $314.38K traded over the market's life.
90 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 5:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Juan Manuel La Serna price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 10 Sep 2026, chart shows 22%–34%
| Observed | Juan Manuel La Serna price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 30.0% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xabidaking | Juan Manuel La Serna | 26.58K |
| Israel10 | Juan Manuel La Serna | 11.45K |
| Brimoz | Juan Manuel La Serna | 3.01K |
| Phony-Slider | Juan Manuel La Serna |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Lukas Neumayer in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-serna-neumaye-2026-09-10
| 3K |
| Bony-Herring-Highland | Juan Manuel La Serna | 2.7K |
| projxtrd | Juan Manuel La Serna | 2.56K |
| Stavaharon | Juan Manuel La Serna | 2.35K |
| pduvnjak | Juan Manuel La Serna | 1.37K |
| Valuable-Span-Casket | Juan Manuel La Serna | 1.19K |
| Habibishh | Juan Manuel La Serna | 900.27 |
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