Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3K | $0.993 | $2.99K | +$11.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20.68 | $0.995 | $20.58 | 4h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.53K |
| $0.958 |
| $2.44K |
| +$18.96 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Yes | 20.68 | $0.995 | $20.54 | -$0.04 |
| sell |
| 117.7 |
| $0.175 |
| $20.61 |
| 4h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 117.7 | $0.660 | $77.68 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.958 | $2.42K | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 236.08 | $0.991 | $233.93 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.988 | $1.31K | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.990 | $1K | 6d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 863.8 | $0.979 | $845.52 | 7d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 412.12 | $0.980 | $403.87 | 7d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.51K | $0.998 | $4.5K | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.76K | $0.914 | $1.61K | 8d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.998 | $1.26K | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | 8d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 109.36 | $0.997 | $109.03 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.3 | $0.780 | $38.45 | 8d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 129.61 | $0.988 | $128.05 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 2.05K | $0.970 | $1.98K | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2K | $0.992 | $1.98K | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 784.84 | $0.468 | $367.46 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 417.44 | $0.449 | $187.27 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 436.47 | $0.650 | $283.59 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 863.61 | $0.990 | $854.97 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 565.13 | $0.444 | $250.78 | 10d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | sell | 260.18 | $0.989 | $257.23 | 10d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.960 | $1.34K | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.36K | $0.991 | $1.34K | 10d ago |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 260.19 | $0.988 | $257.07 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 255.77 | $0.993 | $253.98 | 12d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.970 | $993.02 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1K | $0.993 | $993 | 12d ago |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.988 | $1.65K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.55 | $0.622 | $5.94 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.618 | $745.49 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 131.99 | $0.340 | $44.88 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.49K | $0.356 | $529.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 421.88 | $0.390 | $164.53 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 40.93 | $0.390 | $15.96 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No | buy | 338.85 | $0.890 | $301.58 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | buy | 497.97 | $0.848 | $422.29 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No | sell | 1.24K | $0.131 | $162.17 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No | sell | 813 | $0.230 | $187.12 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No | buy | 549.87 | $0.890 | $489.38 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No | buy | 49.51 | $0.703 | $34.79 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.530 | $810.9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 635 | $0.520 | $330.2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No | buy | 436.41 | $0.890 | $388.4 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.867 | $1.24K | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes | buy | 486.03 | $0.960 | $466.59 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 467.52 | $0.998 | $466.58 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 467.52 | $0.870 | $406.74 | May 23, 2026 |