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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | No | 7.14 | $0.280 | $4 | +$2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 43m ago |
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| Yes |
| 6.45 |
| $0.310 |
| $2.81 |
| +$0.81 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 3.39 | $0.590 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.08 | $0.490 | $1.9 | -$0.1 |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August? | No | 4.26 | $0.470 | $1.68 | -$0.32 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 2.6 | $0.770 | $1.52 | -$0.48 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.380 | $0.04 | -$1.96 |
| buy |
| 7.14 |
| $0.280 |
| $2 |
| 9h ago |
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 19h ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 1d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | 1d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 2d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 6d ago |
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 8d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 9d ago |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 11d ago |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | 13d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 13d ago |
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 13d ago |
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 14d ago |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Yes | buy | 2.52 | $0.592 | $1.49 | 17d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.91 | $0.253 | $2 | 17d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.771 | $2 | 20d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 20d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 20d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 21d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 22d ago |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 22d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 23d ago |
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 23d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 24d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 24d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 25d ago |
Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 26d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | 27d ago |
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | 27d ago |
Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 27d ago |
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 28d ago |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | 28d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 29d ago |
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.98 | $0.502 | $2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.660 | $2.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.420 | $1.26 | Jul 26, 2026 |