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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | sell | 23.04 | $0.325 | $7.5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 14.9 |
| $0.170 |
| $2.53 |
| Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.027 | $0.01 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.027 | $2.18 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 23.05 | $0.830 | $19.13 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | sell | 109.93 | $0.174 | $19.13 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 109.94 | $0.764 | $83.95 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?No | sell | 85.67 | $0.980 | $83.96 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 449.96 | $0.099 | $44.33 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will "The Running Man" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 55.84 | $0.995 | $55.56 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | sell | 86.05 | $0.585 | $50.37 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.199 | $202.62 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 6.98K | $0.510 | $3.56K | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Beef win the 2025 Internet Invitational?No | buy | 871.17 | $0.454 | $395.79 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 2.33K | $0.510 | $1.19K | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 296.44 | $0.026 | $7.81 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.31K | $0.520 | $4.84K | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 449.97 | $0.068 | $30.72 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Thailand win Miss Universe 2025?Yes | buy | 14.9 | $0.100 | $1.49 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 85.67 | $0.940 | $80.54 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Beef win the 2025 Internet Invitational?No | buy | 502.04 | $0.067 | $33.65 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will "The Running Man" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 55.85 | $0.890 | $49.73 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | sell | 106 | $0.250 | $26.5 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | sell | 72 | $0.290 | $20.88 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | sell | 9.38 | $0.250 | $2.35 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 296.45 | $0.033 | $9.74 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 113.61 | $0.086 | $9.75 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.360 | $3.06 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Up Only podcast released by November 30?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.510 | $3.06 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | buy | 23.34 | $0.321 | $7.5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | buy | 84.85 | $0.330 | $28 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 86.05 | $0.688 | $59.23 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 56.84 | $0.019 | $1.08 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 527.12 | $0.019 | $10.26 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 113.62 | $0.095 | $10.74 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | buy | 773.94 | $0.193 | $149.05 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 766.6 | $0.150 | $114.89 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 766.6 | $0.151 | $115.47 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | buy | 399.58 | $0.190 | $75.92 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Up Only podcast released by November 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.590 | $3.54 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 248.5 | $0.080 | $20 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 587.5 | $0.080 | $47 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 697.2 | $0.079 | $55 | Nov 10, 2025 |