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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 7.29 | $0.880 | $6.41 | Jan 12, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 100.3 |
| $0.997 |
| $100 |
| Jan 12, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?Yes | buy | 16.1 | $0.630 | $10.14 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 943.91 | $0.996 | $940.13 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 943.91 | $0.997 | $941.08 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 952.51 | $0.988 | $941.08 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.66 | $0.991 | $0.65 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 944.2 | $0.996 | $940.42 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 944.2 | $0.997 | $941.37 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 801.65 | $0.998 | $800.05 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 133.84 | $0.149 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 849.85 | $0.999 | $849 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 950.95 | $0.999 | $950 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 951.95 | $0.999 | $951 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?No | buy | 950.95 | $0.999 | $950 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 950.95 | $0.999 | $950 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | sell | 322.42 | $0.983 | $316.94 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 962.61 | $0.987 | $950 | Dec 26, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 950 | $0.986 | $936.7 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 50.09 | $0.918 | $46 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETDown | buy | 29.07 | $0.688 | $20 | Dec 26, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 950 | $0.989 | $939.55 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No | sell | 950.95 | $0.995 | $945.99 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?No | buy | 950.95 | $0.999 | $950 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 950.95 | $0.998 | $949.05 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 950.95 | $0.999 | $950 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 950.95 | $0.998 | $949.05 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 950.95 | $0.999 | $950 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 954.77 | $0.994 | $949.04 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 954.77 | $0.995 | $950 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 950 | $0.987 | $937.65 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 148.53 | $0.010 | $1.49 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 950.95 | $0.998 | $949.05 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 950.95 | $0.999 | $950 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 981.96 | $0.998 | $980 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.998 | $998 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.08 | $0.980 | $4 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 122.11 | $0.041 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 145.84 | $0.686 | $100 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 900 | $0.998 | $898.2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.98K | $0.001 | $11.98 | Jul 17, 2024 |
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12K | $0.001 | $12 | Jul 17, 2024 |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12K | $0.001 | $12 | Jul 17, 2024 |
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jul 14, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 45K | $0.001 | $45 | Jul 14, 2024 |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jul 14, 2024 |