Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.8 | $0.510 | $8.28 | +$3.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on July 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.81 |
| $0.740 |
| $6.59 |
| +$1.55 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.97 | +$0.93 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.13 | $0.610 | $5.33 | +$0.37 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 6.07 | $0.820 | $4.95 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 6.57 | $0.760 | $4.66 | -$0.33 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.6 | -$0.12 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9 | $0.470 | $4.55 | +$0.32 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.21 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 9.16 | $0.560 | $4.08 | -$1.05 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 6.49 | $0.770 | $3.86 | -$1.14 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.04 | $0.710 | $3.56 | -$1.44 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.04 | $0.800 | $2.6 | +$0.17 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 7 | $0.300 | $2.49 | +$0.39 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.44 | $0.690 | $1.03 | +$0.04 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | Yes | 7.54 | $0.211 | $0.45 | -$1.14 |
| buy |
| 6.13 |
| $0.225 |
| $1.38 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.370 | $1.12 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.400 | $3.26 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.330 | $2.34 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 5.93 | $0.800 | $4.74 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.550 | $5.04 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.710 | $5.04 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?No | buy | 8.8 | $0.450 | $3.96 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.317 | $2.32 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.470 | $4.23 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.730 | $4.93 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.18 | $0.510 | $4.68 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.702 | $4.98 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.716 | $5.04 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?Up | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.780 | $2.74 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.88 | $0.340 | $2.34 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes | buy | 7.54 | $0.211 | $1.59 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.560 | $5.13 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 7 | $0.340 | $2.38 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $96 Week of June 15 2026?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.530 | $4.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.880 | $5.34 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | May 28, 2026 |