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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 66.67 | $0.150 | $17 | +$7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | 14d ago |
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| No |
| 20.41 |
| $0.490 |
| $14.39 |
| +$4.39 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 62.5 | $0.160 | $7.81 | -$2.19 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $4.41 | -$5.59 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 8.2 | $0.244 | $3.68 | +$1.68 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 44.64 | $0.224 | $3.19 | -$6.81 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 500 | $0.002 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.009 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| buy |
| 20.41 |
| $0.490 |
| $10 |
| 22d ago |
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | 29d ago |
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.983 | $16.95 | 29d ago |
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 44.64 | $0.224 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.780 | $12.18 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 61.14 | $0.870 | $53.19 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.995 | $18.09 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Ethereum flipped in 2026?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.65 | $0.590 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.52 | $0.640 | $0.97 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.057 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.1 | $0.244 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.1 | $0.244 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | sell | 55.15 | $0.958 | $52.83 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?No | buy | 61.84 | $0.162 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 61.14 | $0.210 | $12.84 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Dec 27, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?No | buy | 51 | $0.490 | $25 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 680 | $0.005 | $3.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?No | sell | 33 | $0.980 | $32.34 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.082 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.112 | $10 | Oct 12, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.017 | $17 | Sep 16, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.017 | $20 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | Sep 16, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 882.35 | $0.017 | $15 | Sep 16, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Sep 15, 2025 |