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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 0.32 | $0.490 | $0.28 | +$0.12 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.978 | $32.27 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.99 |
| $0.048 |
| $0.02 |
| -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 44 |
| $0.680 |
| $29.92 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.800 | $32.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.943 | $29.23 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 22.44 | $0.730 | $16.38 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.720 | $31.68 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 81 | $0.080 | $6.48 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.110 | $0.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.490 | $29.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.949 | $33.21 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.944 | $30.21 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.108 | $0.32 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.747 | $27.64 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.790 | $28.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.939 | $30.99 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.866 | $28.58 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 43 | $0.730 | $31.39 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 43 | $0.730 | $31.39 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 17 | $0.955 | $16.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 17 | $0.955 | $16.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 14 | $0.801 | $11.21 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.802 | $31.28 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.810 | $6.48 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.048 | $0.72 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.710 | $28.4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 62 | $0.460 | $28.52 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.470 | $3.76 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.570 | $4.56 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.570 | $19.95 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.857 | $32.57 | May 27, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.958 | $1.92 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.982 | $30.44 | May 21, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.530 | $4.24 | May 21, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.530 | $24.38 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.015 | $1.17 | May 20, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.959 | $33.57 | May 20, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.958 | $33.53 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.975 | $6.83 | May 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 62 | $0.550 | $34.1 | May 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 62 | $0.550 | $34.1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 32 | $0.958 | $30.66 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 32 | $0.983 | $31.46 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.983 | $30.47 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.982 | $0.98 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.930 | $30.69 | May 15, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.036 | $0.25 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 36 | $0.859 | $30.92 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 29 | $0.950 | $27.55 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 31 | $0.973 | $30.16 | Apr 25, 2026 |