Latest trade
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 3:37 PM UTC.
Analytics
Lelarus has made $808.54 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 25 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 3:37 PM UTC.
$92.13 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 29 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from Jan 19, 2026 UTC to Oct 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 172.51 | $0.570 | $90.57 | -$7.76 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | buy | 172.51 | $0.570 | $98.33 | 6d ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 11:17 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 15:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 15:37 UTC
polymarket positions
26 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 23:47 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.36K and losing ones cost $301.18 across 25 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.19K on “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $213.96 on “Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?” (No).
It first traded on 14 Jan 2026 and most recently on 16 Oct 2026. It has traded 31 markets. Its open positions are worth $90.57 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 117.8 |
| $0.830 |
| $97.77 |
| 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 117.81 | $0.730 | $86 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.940 | $86.48 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.760 | $69.92 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 513.33 | $0.003 | $1.54 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 71.75 | $0.997 | $71.53 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 71.76 | $0.174 | $12.47 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?No | sell | 1K | $0.012 | $12.04 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.225 | $226 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 221.11 | $0.190 | $42.01 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.212 | $22.37 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.237 | $25 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 328.57 | $0.140 | $46 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 196.3 | $0.535 | $105.02 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 106.67 | $0.720 | $76.8 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 77.48 | $0.770 | $59.66 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 791.02 | $0.540 | $427.15 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 433.98 | $0.850 | $368.88 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 370.53 | $0.830 | $307.54 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 308.92 | $0.610 | $188.44 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 191.2 | $0.992 | $189.72 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.006 | $0.44 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.910 | $70 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.36K | $0.297 | $700 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | sell | 5.22K | $0.540 | $2.82K | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 191.21 | $0.910 | $174 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.09K | $0.159 | $173.62 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.167 | $182 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | buy | 3.56K | $0.561 | $2K | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?No | sell | 2.62K | $0.832 | $2.18K | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | buy | 116.22 | $0.370 | $43 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 102.22 | $0.420 | $42.93 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 102.22 | $0.450 | $46 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.324 | $500 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 424.09 | $0.815 | $345.78 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 424.1 | $0.830 | $352 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 466.05 | $0.700 | $326.24 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 31.03 | $0.840 | $26.07 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 31.03 | $0.580 | $18 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?No | buy | 2.62K | $0.801 | $2.1K | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | sell | 2.25K | $0.940 | $2.12K | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 466.06 | $0.670 | $312.11 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?No | sell | 375 | $0.810 | $303.75 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?No | buy | 375 | $0.640 | $240 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?No | buy | 20.36 | $0.560 | $11.4 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No | sell | 12.06 | $0.920 | $11.1 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?No | buy | 58.67 | $0.145 | $8.5 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 19, 2026?No | sell | 8.79 | $0.997 | $8.76 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 19, 2026?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.