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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 8.4K | $0.878 | $7.85K | +$477.83 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | buy | 50 | $0.994 | $49.7 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.06K |
| $0.950 |
| $1.01K |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 198 | $0.969 | $191.86 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 208 | $0.400 | $83.2 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 6.81K | $0.880 | $5.99K | May 25, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 65.31 | $0.874 | $57.07 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 507.6 | $0.868 | $440.39 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 5.16K | $0.910 | $4.7K | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 234 | $0.448 | $104.94 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 2.02K | $0.452 | $913.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 465.68 | $0.558 | $259.75 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 599.62 | $0.559 | $334.92 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 1K | $0.590 | $590.48 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 5.02K | $0.591 | $2.97K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 371 | $0.978 | $362.84 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 7.05K | $0.991 | $6.99K | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 5 | $0.984 | $4.92 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 7.38K | $0.967 | $7.13K | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.37 | $0.960 | $19.56 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 4.67K | $0.977 | $4.56K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 4.58K | $0.999 | $4.58K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 606.83 | $0.940 | $570.42 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 6.77K | $0.940 | $6.36K | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 469.17 | $0.989 | $464.01 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | sell | 176.29 | $0.840 | $148.11 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | sell | 275.28 | $0.841 | $231.52 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 4.28K | $0.990 | $4.24K | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 83.92 | $0.998 | $83.75 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.16K | $0.998 | $4.15K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | sell | 512.06 | $0.849 | $434.92 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.989 | $1.28K | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 14.28 | $0.860 | $12.28 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 225.11 | $0.867 | $195.17 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 136.26 | $0.865 | $117.83 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 308.96 | $0.993 | $306.8 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.92 | $0.997 | $90.65 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 933.26 | $0.998 | $931.39 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.949 | $957.53 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 199.93 | $0.948 | $189.53 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 141.3 | $0.947 | $133.81 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 206.3 | $0.946 | $195.16 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 464 | $0.945 | $438.48 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.966 | $1.48K | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.986 | $10.08 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 506 | $0.986 | $498.92 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 70.03 | $0.966 | $67.65 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 251.19 | $0.967 | $242.9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.966 | $386.4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes | buy | 520.8 | $0.930 | $484.24 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes | buy | 198 | $0.920 | $182.16 | Jan 28, 2026 |