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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 7 | $0.990 | $6.98 | +$0.05 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7 | $0.990 | $6.93 | 10d ago |
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| buy |
| 8.1 |
| $0.999 |
| $8.09 |
| 11d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?No | sell | 33 | $0.995 | $32.84 | 23d ago |
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 121 | $0.997 | $120.64 | 23d ago |
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 21 | $0.997 | $20.94 | 23d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?No | buy | 33 | $0.996 | $32.87 | 23d ago |
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 21 | $0.998 | $20.96 | 23d ago |
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 121 | $0.998 | $120.76 | 23d ago |
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 89 | $0.997 | $88.73 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 89 | $0.998 | $88.82 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?No | sell | 48 | $0.998 | $47.9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No | sell | 54 | $0.995 | $53.73 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 65 | $0.997 | $64.81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?No | buy | 48 | $0.999 | $47.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 65 | $0.998 | $64.87 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No | buy | 54 | $0.996 | $53.78 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 12 | $0.996 | $11.95 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 5.7 | $0.989 | $5.64 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.990 | $5.64 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.997 | $11.96 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 6 | $0.993 | $5.96 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 6 | $0.994 | $5.96 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.670 | $4.69 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes | buy | 10.48 | $0.660 | $6.92 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 243 | $0.995 | $241.79 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 243 | $0.996 | $242.03 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 154 | $0.995 | $153.23 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 70 | $0.967 | $67.69 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 130 | $0.967 | $125.71 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.966 | $193.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 154 | $0.996 | $153.38 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?Yes | sell | 8.99 | $0.196 | $1.76 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.129 | $1.03 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.997 | $5.98 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.991 | $9.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5.3 | $0.882 | $4.67 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.7 | $0.963 | $5.49 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.964 | $5.49 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.883 | $4.68 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 9.7 | $0.988 | $9.58 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 9.7 | $0.989 | $9.59 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 5.7 | $0.994 | $5.67 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.838 | $4.61 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.839 | $4.61 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.995 | $5.67 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.995 | $8.96 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.997 | $8.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 6 | $0.726 | $4.36 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.951 | $5.71 | Apr 12, 2026 |