
Resolved Yes on 25 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21.5%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 21 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 21 Apr 2026 to 25 Apr 2026, the highest close was 39.5% on 21 Apr 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 25 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 29.5% on 24 Apr 2026. $411.46K traded over the market's life.
110 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 7:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 21 Apr 2026 – 25 Apr 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Apr 2026 | 39.5% |
| 25 Apr 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 67.71K |
| bngxyz | No | 54.05K |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | No | 1.91K |
| tupac8 | No | 1.7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-23-april-25
| lnwza | No | 1.39K |
| POLO61 | No | 1.29K |
| Zealous-Proximity | No | 902.24 |
| zgdhj95 | No | 898.73 |
| mustbethewater | No | 684.81 |
| Lux | No | 300 |
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