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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $6.05 | +$1.05 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | May 9, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 76.92 |
| $0.130 |
| $5 |
| -$5 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.240 | $4.69 | -$0.31 |
| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $5 |
| Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | sell | 15.71 | $0.870 | $13.67 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 7.46 | $0.900 | $6.71 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.930 | $5.96 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 7.91 | $0.632 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Mar 7, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Mar 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |